E16: Free-market economics is working, tariffs aren't, a breakthrough malaria drug for babies, switching off the doom, and much more:

E16: Free-market economics is working, tariffs aren't, a breakthrough malaria drug for babies, switching off the doom, and much more:
“Without trade restrictions, the obvious and simple system of natural liberty establishes itself of its own accord.” — The Wealth Of Nations, Book IV, Chapter IX, p. 687, para. 51.

Tony Morley, July 17th, 2025

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“In the race to impose ever greater tariffs, and turn our backs on globalization, we risk killing the golden goose because we've grown sick of collecting golden eggs.” — Factories of Progress, Tony Morley

Factories of Progress: National Review

In June, I wrote for National Review on the role factories have played in driving progress and prosperity while helping lift hundreds of millions of people out of extreme poverty. A slightly longer and original edit was published on The Up Wing.

“Manufacturing and industrialization have lifted billions of people out of extreme poverty” “Policies and political positions that hinder trade and globalization risk jeopardizing the improvements in living standards for people in poorer countries.”
Factories of Progress | National Review
Policies that hinder globalization and reduce trade are policies that decrease global prosperity and increase global poverty.
“What we can say, however, with historical certainty, is that, on the whole, factories and industrialization tend to bring improved economic opportunities, higher living standards, lower child mortality rates, and increased life expectancy.”

Tinned Soup and Tariffs

Tariffs raise the price of everything, from tinned soup to automotive parts, and it’s the individual, not the state, who is footing the bill. Something so obvious and demonstrably factual shouldn’t be unintuitive or controversial, but here we are. Dive into the story of what it takes to make something as simple as a can of soup, and how tariffs muddle every step of the process, with Ed Conway, author of The Material World.

“A mazy, unpredictable set of circumstances, all of which mean American consumers end up facing higher Campbell’s Soup prices.”
“Rather than trying to make every kind of steel, many countries now tend to specialise in certain varieties of steel, with the presumption that, since it’s a global market, they can just buy in the other stuff from elsewhere.”
Tinned Soup and Tariffs
A dive down the rabbit hole of what it actually takes to make a seemingly simple supermarket product - and what happens when that product gets embroiled in a trade war

Free speech, “more radical than you may think”

Free speech is almost certainly an underrated key stone of liberty. The team at Kite and Key dive into the First Amendment, why it's “more radical than you may think,” and why we shouldn't let the government renege on the commitment to protecting that liberty.

“The right to free speech in America is closer to absolute than in any other country in the world. Why choose a standard this permissive? One of the most important reasons is that good ideas don’t always start out as popular ideas.”
"So, if you’re willing to make exceptions to free speech for people you don’t like … well, that’s no longer free speech."
Kite & Key Media | Turning Cutting-Edge Research Into Videos
A digital media company dedicated to facts and evidence. Translating the world’s best research into the world’s most accessible videos.

Why are people switching off the news?

Forget left or right, nearly all mainstream media leans doom. A new Reuters survey of nearly 100,000 people across 48 countries found “39 per cent said that they purposefully turned away from news because it has a negative effect on their mood” Maybe it's time we switched it off?

“According to the report, younger respondents were more likely to say that they feel powerless in the face of existential issues such as economic insecurity and climate change,”
Infographic: What Are the Main Reasons People Switch off the News?
This chart shows the share of respondents who say they actively try to avoid the news because of various reasons (in %).

The Moral Case Against Protectionism

“Free trade enriches us and enables human flourishing, but it is also a moral imperative essential to a just society.” — Freedom to Trade, The Moral Case Against Protectionism, James A. Dorn for the Cato Institute

“Property, freedom, and justice are inseparable in the liberal constitutional order: When private property rights are violated, individual freedom and justice suffer. Governments that choose the path of protectionism diminish their moral authority.”

Free-market economics is working surprisingly well

Milei hasn’t yet won the war against inflation, bureaucracy, and state control of the economy, but he has won the vast majority of the battles, and his methodology continues to prevail. Inflation, poverty, and unemployment have declined significantly and continue to decrease.

“Macroeconomic theory says that if deficits are high and persistent enough, then they convince everyone that the government will eventually inflate its debt away by printing money (which becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy”
Free-market economics is working surprisingly well
Which economic approach works depends a lot on where you start from.

90% of medicines prescribed in the U.S. are imported

Tariffs aren't just economically ruinous at home and abroad; they raise the cost of critical medicines. Put another way, free trade is good for your health.

“Roughly 90% of medicines prescribed in the U.S. are imported from other countries”

Today, 40-45% of the critical antibiotic penicillin imported into the United States each year originates in China. “Since 2001, pharmaceutical imports have surged more than sixfold, and pharmaceutical goods now rank as one of the most-imported goods into the United States.”

Charted: U.S. Pharmaceutical Drug Imports from China
Around 90% of medicines prescribed in the U.S. are imported, and China is a major supplier.

Breakthrough in the search for HIV cure leaves researchers ‘overwhelmed’

“Now researchers from the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity in Melbourne, have demonstrated a way to make the virus visible, paving the way to fully clear it from the body.”
Breakthrough in search for HIV cure leaves researchers ‘overwhelmed’
Exclusive: Melbourne team demonstrates way to make the virus visible within white blood cells, paving the way to fully clear it from the body

Every year, 230,000 children are spared from HIV thanks to treatments that reduce mother-to-child transmission

“It’s hard to imagine many things that are more terrifying than your baby contracting HIV. This is the reality for around 130,000 families every year. Just a few decades ago, this figure was over half a million.”
Every year, 230,000 children are spared from HIV thanks to treatments that reduce mother-to-child transmission
It’s hard to imagine many things that are more terrifying than your baby contracting HIV. This is the reality for around 130,000 families every year.

The Kids Need Optimism, Not Doom and Degrowth

“Not only is the embrace of degrowth misguided, but research suggests that this doomsday mindset is causing widespread anxiety in young people.”

“Unfortunately, children today are often bombarded with messages of an impending apocalypse that can only be warded off by lowering living standards and embracing “degrowth.”
The Kids Need Optimism, Not Doom and Degrowth
Documenting the improving state of the world with charts, graphs and maps.

The United States has just approved CRISPR pigs for food, and that's progress worth talking about

Farm-raised pigs with CRISPR edits that make them resistant to 99% of the known versions of the PRRS virus could be a significant commercial gene breakthrough.

“It’s going to save a lot of money if pigs are immune to the PRRS virus, which spreads quite easily, causing losses of $300 million a year or more in the US alone.” The breakthrough, if adopted globally, may prevent the loss of millions of pigs annually, particularly in China.

The US has approved CRISPR pigs for food
Pigs whose DNA makes them resistant to a virus could be the first big consumer product using gene editing.
“The pigs will join a very short list of gene-modified animals that you can eat. It’s a short list because such animals are expensive to create, face regulatory barriers, and don’t always pay off.”

The end of lead

“Lead has been all but eliminated in most of the developed world. Doing the same for the rest of the world might not be difficult.”

“Even at the height of that crisis, the exposure level was far less than historical levels. In 2015, the average child in Flint had a blood level of 1.3 micrograms per deciliter, one-seventh of what might have been expected a few decades before.”
The end of lead - Works in Progress Magazine
Lead has been all but eliminated in most of the developed world. Doing the same for the rest of the world might not be difficult.
Source: Lead concentrations in the blood of children in the United States, Our World In Data

Baby boy preference is declining sharply, restoring balance

The repugnant practice of aborting unborn girls in preference to boys has declined dramatically, particularly in China and India, since 2000. The number of missing girls has declined by 87.5%, from 1.6 million in 2000 to 200,000 in 2025, and is still falling.

Phew, it’s a girl! | Jun 7th 2025 | The Economist
Phew, it’s a girl! – Weekly edition of The Economist for Jun 7th 2025. You’ve seen the news, now discover the story.

First malaria treatment for babies approved for use

A newly available breakthrough drug from Novartis can help provide malaria protection for babies and the youngest and most vulnerable children, weighing under 4.5kg, or 10 pounds.

“Together with our partners, we are proud to have gone further to develop the first clinically proven malaria treatment for newborns and young babies, ensuring even the smallest and most vulnerable can finally receive the care they deserve.”
First malaria treatment for babies approved for use
Until now, there had only been drugs for older children which carried an overdose risk for the young.

The Declining Time Price of Kilowatt-Hours

“Energy is essential to creating abundance.” The good news is that the time price of electricity in the United States has been falling, on average, for decades.

“Another way to understand electricity prices is to ask: how many kWh can you buy with one hour of work? This chart illustrates that relationship. In 1980, an hour of US blue-collar labor could buy 152 kWh; today, it buys 207 kWh—a 36 percent increase in energy abundance.”
The Declining Time Price of Kilowatt-Hours
We’re getting more energy for less time.

Construction has just commenced on the world's tallest timber tower, in Wisconsin, of all places

“The Wisconsin build will rise to a height of 375 ft (114.3 m), which is significantly taller than the Ascent's 284 ft (86.6 m). Its interior will consist of 31 floors and 350 residences.”
USA starts construction on world’s new tallest timber tower within days
The United States has a new center for tall timber towers – and it’s not NYC or Chicago, as you might assume – but Milwaukee. The world’s next tallest timber tower is due to begin construction in the Wisconsin city soon, near the current world record holder, the Ascent.
Construction of the Neutral 1005 N Edison St commenced on June 16th, 2025

Have You Heard the Good News?

Politicians and journalists get elected and paid by the trafficking of doom culture. This wholesale cultural bombardment of pessimism erodes optimism, fogs our ability to make clear and effective personal and political choices. A more fact-based look at the world shows that it’s better than it looks.

“But the tenor of the public debate—from elected officials to pundits, journalists to public intellectuals—implies that we are living in something approaching the apocalypse. To them, the game is rigged, the system is broken, everything is awful, and life was better decades ago. That’s mostly bullshit.”
Have You Heard the Good News?
Because the progressive left and the MAGA right clearly have not.
“The left blames rich people and corporations. (We have to redistribute your ice cream from them back to you.) The right blames free trade, immigrants —including legal ones, who came here just to take your ice cream—and, uh, also rich people and corporations.”

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E15: “How golden ages really start—and end”, a major CRISPR breakthrough, measles vaccinations have prevented over ninety million deaths, and much more:

E15: “How golden ages really start—and end”, a major CRISPR breakthrough, measles vaccinations have prevented over ninety million deaths, and much more:

Tony Morley, May 28th 2025 Welcome to The Up Wing You’re reading The Up Wing, Edition 15, progress and optimistic news, collated, curated, and delivered. We report on the past, present, and future of human progress, and optimistic news. We’re pro-growth, free markets, progress, techno-optimism, classical liberalism, and

By Tony Morley